The company is seeking a substantial long-term business loan for the purpose of developing the clothing line. This funding will cover operating expenses and product development leading to the launch in July 2000.
8.1 Important Assumptions
The table below contains important assumptions which the company will use to ensure its success, the primary assumption is that the economy will remain in its present upturn.
| General Assumptions |
| Plan Month |
1 |
2 |
3 |
| Current Interest Rate |
10.00% |
10.00% |
10.00% |
| Long-term Interest Rate |
10.00% |
10.00% |
10.00% |
| Tax Rate |
25.42% |
25.00% |
25.42% |
| Other |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8.2 Break-even Analysis
With a high gross margin and estimated fixed monthly expenses, the required monthly break-even sales volume is shown below.
| Break-even Analysis |
|
|
| Monthly Revenue Break-even |
£222,738 |
|
|
| Average Percent Variable Cost |
28% |
| Estimated Monthly Fixed Cost |
£160,371 |
8.3 Projected Profit and Loss
New Look is in the early stage of development, thus initial projections have only been made on accounts that are believed to most drive the income statement.
| Pro Forma Profit and Loss |
| Direct Cost of Sales |
£1,400,000 |
£14,000,000 |
£42,000,000 |
| Other |
£50,000 |
£50,000 |
£50,000 |
| Total Cost of Sales |
£1,450,000 |
£14,050,000 |
£42,050,000 |
|
|
|
|
| Gross Margin |
£3,550,000 |
£35,950,000 |
£107,950,000 |
| Gross Margin % |
71.00% |
71.90% |
71.97% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Payroll |
£565,217 |
£800,000 |
£1,000,000 |
| Sales and Marketing and Other Expenses |
£1,188,058 |
£9,260,000 |
£11,830,000 |
| Depreciation |
£26,400 |
£26,400 |
£26,400 |
| Communications |
£26,400 |
£90,000 |
£150,000 |
| Client Relations |
£24,000 |
£120,000 |
£200,000 |
| Rent |
£9,600 |
£30,000 |
£30,000 |
| Payroll Taxes |
£84,783 |
£120,000 |
£150,000 |
| Other |
£0 |
£0 |
£0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Profit Before Interest and Taxes |
£1,625,542 |
£25,503,600 |
£94,563,600 |
| EBITDA |
£1,651,942 |
£25,530,000 |
£94,590,000 |
| Interest Expense |
£364,435 |
£387,597 |
£331,004 |
| Taxes Incurred |
£322,231 |
£6,279,001 |
£23,950,785 |
|
|
|
|
| Net Profit/Sales |
18.78% |
37.67% |
46.85% |
8.4 Projected Cash Flow
The projected cash flow assumes the company receives the required loan in two credit installments--in January, and in May 2000.

| Pro Forma Cash Flow |
|
|
|
|
| Cash from Operations |
|
|
|
| Cash Sales |
£250,000 |
£2,500,000 |
£7,500,000 |
| Cash from Receivables |
£4,338,433 |
£40,015,900 |
£125,868,667 |
| Subtotal Cash from Operations |
£4,588,433 |
£42,515,900 |
£133,368,667 |
|
|
|
|
| Additional Cash Received |
|
|
|
| Sales Tax, VAT, HST/GST Received |
£0 |
£0 |
£0 |
| New Current Borrowing |
£0 |
£0 |
£0 |
| New Other Liabilities (interest-free) |
£0 |
£0 |
£0 |
| New Long-term Liabilities |
£3,000,000 |
£0 |
£0 |
| Sales of Other Current Assets |
£0 |
£0 |
£0 |
| Sales of Long-term Assets |
£0 |
£0 |
£0 |
| New Investment Received |
£0 |
£0 |
£0 |
| Subtotal Cash Received |
£7,588,433 |
£42,515,900 |
£133,368,667 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Expenditures from Operations |
|
|
|
| Cash Spending |
£565,217 |
£800,000 |
£1,000,000 |
| Bill Payments |
£2,894,534 |
£29,215,892 |
£77,486,294 |
| Subtotal Spent on Operations |
£3,459,751 |
£30,015,892 |
£78,486,294 |
|
|
|
|
| Additional Cash Spent |
|
|
|
| Sales Tax, VAT, HST/GST Paid Out |
£0 |
£0 |
£0 |
| Principal Repayment of Current Borrowing |
£0 |
£0 |
£0 |
| Other Liabilities Principal Repayment |
£0 |
£0 |
£0 |
| Long-term Liabilities Principal Repayment |
£300,137 |
£537,779 |
£594,092 |
| Purchase Other Current Assets |
£0 |
£0 |
£0 |
| Purchase Long-term Assets |
£0 |
£0 |
£0 |
| Dividends |
£0 |
£0 |
£0 |
| Subtotal Cash Spent |
£3,759,888 |
£30,553,671 |
£79,080,386 |
|
|
|
|
| Cash Balance |
£4,273,546 |
£16,235,775 |
£70,524,056 |
8.5 Projected Balance Sheet
New Look's projected balance sheets for 2000-2002 are provided below.

| Pro Forma Balance Sheet |
|
|
|
|
| Current Assets |
|
|
|
| Cash |
£4,273,546 |
£16,235,775 |
£70,524,056 |
| Accounts Receivable |
£831,567 |
£8,315,667 |
£24,947,000 |
| Inventory |
£145,000 |
£1,450,000 |
£4,350,000 |
| Other Current Assets |
£105,000 |
£105,000 |
£105,000 |
| Total Current Assets |
£5,355,112 |
£26,106,441 |
£99,926,056 |
|
|
|
|
| Long-term Assets |
|
|
|
| Long-term Assets |
£525,000 |
£525,000 |
£525,000 |
| Accumulated Depreciation |
£106,400 |
£132,800 |
£159,200 |
| Total Long-term Assets |
£418,600 |
£392,200 |
£365,800 |
| Total Assets |
£5,773,712 |
£26,498,641 |
£100,291,856 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Current Liabilities |
|
|
|
| Accounts Payable |
£174,973 |
£2,600,679 |
£6,706,174 |
| Current Borrowing |
£1,090,000 |
£1,090,000 |
£1,090,000 |
| Other Current Liabilities |
£410,000 |
£410,000 |
£410,000 |
| Subtotal Current Liabilities |
£1,674,973 |
£4,100,679 |
£8,206,174 |
|
|
|
|
| Long-term Liabilities |
£3,054,863 |
£2,517,084 |
£1,922,992 |
| Total Liabilities |
£4,729,836 |
£6,617,763 |
£10,129,166 |
|
|
|
|
| Paid-in Capital |
£70,000 |
£70,000 |
£70,000 |
| Retained Earnings |
£35,000 |
£973,876 |
£19,810,878 |
| Earnings |
£938,876 |
£18,837,002 |
£70,281,811 |
| Total Capital |
£1,043,876 |
£19,880,878 |
£90,162,689 |
| Total Liabilities and Capital |
£5,773,712 |
£26,498,641 |
£100,291,856 |
|
|
|
|
| Net Worth |
£1,043,876 |
£19,880,878 |
£90,162,689 |
8.6 Business Ratios
The following table contains important business ratios from the men's clothing industry, as determined by the Standard Industry Classification (SIC) Index, code 2329.

| Ratio Analysis |
| Sales Growth |
66.67% |
900.00% |
200.00% |
-5.70% |
|
|
|
|
|
| Accounts Receivable |
14.40% |
31.38% |
24.87% |
22.70% |
| Inventory |
2.51% |
5.47% |
4.34% |
34.90% |
| Other Current Assets |
1.82% |
0.40% |
0.10% |
20.60% |
| Total Current Assets |
92.75% |
98.52% |
99.64% |
78.20% |
| Long-term Assets |
7.25% |
1.48% |
0.36% |
21.80% |
| Total Assets |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
|
|
|
|
|
| Current Liabilities |
29.01% |
15.48% |
8.18% |
28.60% |
| Long-term Liabilities |
52.91% |
9.50% |
1.92% |
19.30% |
| Total Liabilities |
81.92% |
24.97% |
10.10% |
47.90% |
| Net Worth |
18.08% |
75.03% |
89.90% |
52.10% |
|
|
|
|
|
| Sales |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
| Gross Margin |
71.00% |
71.90% |
71.97% |
29.30% |
| Selling, General & Administrative Expenses |
52.08% |
34.23% |
24.85% |
16.00% |
| Advertising Expenses |
12.00% |
14.00% |
6.00% |
0.80% |
| Profit Before Interest and Taxes |
32.51% |
51.01% |
63.04% |
3.50% |
|
|
|
|
|
| Current |
3.20 |
6.37 |
12.18 |
2.67 |
| Quick |
3.11 |
6.01 |
11.65 |
1.14 |
| Total Debt to Total Assets |
81.92% |
24.97% |
10.10% |
47.90% |
| Pre-tax Return on Net Worth |
120.81% |
126.33% |
104.51% |
5.60% |
| Pre-tax Return on Assets |
21.84% |
94.78% |
93.96% |
10.80% |
|
|
|
|
|
| Net Profit Margin |
18.78% |
37.67% |
46.85% |
n.a |
| Return on Equity |
89.94% |
94.75% |
77.95% |
n.a |
|
|
|
|
|
| Accounts Receivable Turnover |
5.71 |
5.71 |
5.71 |
n.a |
| Collection Days |
59 |
35 |
43 |
n.a |
| Inventory Turnover |
1.75 |
17.55 |
14.48 |
n.a |
| Accounts Payable Turnover |
11.83 |
12.17 |
12.17 |
n.a |
| Payment Days |
41 |
16 |
21 |
n.a |
| Total Asset Turnover |
0.87 |
1.89 |
1.50 |
n.a |
|
|
|
|
|
| Debt to Net Worth |
4.53 |
0.33 |
0.11 |
n.a |
| Current Liab. to Liab. |
0.35 |
0.62 |
0.81 |
n.a |
|
|
|
|
|
| Net Working Capital |
£3,680,139 |
£22,005,762 |
£91,719,881 |
n.a |
| Interest Coverage |
4.46 |
65.80 |
285.69 |
n.a |
|
|
|
|
|
| Assets to Sales |
1.15 |
0.53 |
0.67 |
n.a |
| Current Debt/Total Assets |
29% |
15% |
8% |
n.a |
| Acid Test |
2.61 |
3.98 |
8.61 |
n.a |
| Sales/Net Worth |
4.79 |
2.51 |
1.66 |
n.a |
| Dividend Payout |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
n.a |