The financial plan depends on initial investment of £20,000 from the founder, plus a five-year loan of £30,000, and another £10,000, 10-month, interest-free loan from a family member. Much as we'd like to bootstrap this business without initial investment, it just isn't worth it. The rest of the plan is reasonably conservative, but there does have to be money at risk.
The bank loan will be secured with real estate owned by the founder.
7.1 Important Assumptions
Important general assumptions are shown in the following table.
| General Assumptions |
| Plan Month |
1 |
2 |
3 |
| Current Interest Rate |
10.00% |
10.00% |
10.00% |
| Long-term Interest Rate |
10.00% |
10.00% |
10.00% |
| Tax Rate |
30.00% |
30.00% |
30.00% |
| Other |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7.2 Key Financial Indicators
The benchmarks chart shows changes in sales, operating expenses, gross margin, and collection days. We think the chart speaks for itself, and what it says is that the numbers and assumptions are reasonable.
7.3 Break-even Analysis
This is a preliminary break-even for now.
| Break-even Analysis |
|
|
| Monthly Revenue Break-even |
£39,158 |
|
|
| Average Percent Variable Cost |
35% |
| Estimated Monthly Fixed Cost |
£25,275 |
7.4 Projected Profit and Loss
We assume a slightly higher gross margin than industry standards for eating places, because we don't have the full slate of meals or servers. Also, kitchen and busboy employees are not included in cost of sales, for simplicity.
Because we're new to this business, we've adjusted the profitability into normal range by adding a relatively large amount of additional unitemized expenses. That gives us a buffer for the additional unforeseen expenses that we expect will come up. If they don't, then we'll be more profitable than normal for the deli business.
| Pro Forma Profit and Loss |
| Direct Cost of Sales |
£230,178 |
£259,039 |
£271,991 |
| Other kitchen expenses |
£36,000 |
£40,000 |
£45,000 |
| Total Cost of Sales |
£266,178 |
£299,039 |
£316,991 |
|
|
|
|
| Gross Margin |
£383,043 |
£382,643 |
£398,775 |
| Gross Margin % |
59.00% |
56.13% |
55.71% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Payroll |
£186,000 |
£135,000 |
£170,000 |
| Sales and Marketing and Other Expenses |
£81,000 |
£57,500 |
£76,000 |
| Depreciation |
£0 |
£0 |
£0 |
| Utilities |
£2,400 |
£2,400 |
£2,400 |
| Insurance |
£6,000 |
£6,600 |
£7,200 |
| Payroll Taxes |
£27,900 |
£20,250 |
£25,500 |
| Other |
£0 |
£0 |
£0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Profit Before Interest and Taxes |
£79,743 |
£160,893 |
£117,675 |
| EBITDA |
£79,743 |
£160,893 |
£117,675 |
| Interest Expense |
£3,678 |
£1,257 |
£0 |
| Taxes Incurred |
£22,819 |
£47,891 |
£35,303 |
|
|
|
|
| Net Profit/Sales |
8.20% |
16.39% |
11.51% |
7.5 Projected Cash Flow
With the financing plan as projected, the business remains cash positive throughout the first three years. During year two and three, it is expected that a significant amount of cash will be used to upgrade facilities and purchase new equipment.

| Pro Forma Cash Flow |
|
|
|
|
| Cash from Operations |
|
|
|
| Cash Sales |
£649,221 |
£681,682 |
£715,766 |
| Subtotal Cash from Operations |
£649,221 |
£681,682 |
£715,766 |
|
|
|
|
| Additional Cash Received |
|
|
|
| Sales Tax, VAT, HST/GST Received |
£0 |
£0 |
£0 |
| New Current Borrowing |
£15,000 |
£0 |
£0 |
| New Other Liabilities (interest-free) |
£0 |
£0 |
£0 |
| New Long-term Liabilities |
£0 |
£0 |
£0 |
| Sales of Other Current Assets |
£0 |
£0 |
£0 |
| Sales of Long-term Assets |
£0 |
£0 |
£0 |
| New Investment Received |
£0 |
£0 |
£0 |
| Subtotal Cash Received |
£664,221 |
£681,682 |
£715,766 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Expenditures from Operations |
|
|
|
| Cash Spending |
£186,000 |
£135,000 |
£170,000 |
| Bill Payments |
£400,625 |
£436,393 |
£462,602 |
| Subtotal Spent on Operations |
£586,625 |
£571,393 |
£632,602 |
|
|
|
|
| Additional Cash Spent |
|
|
|
| Sales Tax, VAT, HST/GST Paid Out |
£0 |
£0 |
£0 |
| Principal Repayment of Current Borrowing |
£19,868 |
£25,132 |
£0 |
| Other Liabilities Principal Repayment |
£10,000 |
£0 |
£0 |
| Long-term Liabilities Principal Repayment |
£0 |
£0 |
£0 |
| Purchase Other Current Assets |
£0 |
£40,000 |
£0 |
| Purchase Long-term Assets |
£0 |
£50,000 |
£0 |
| Dividends |
£25,000 |
£25,000 |
£60,000 |
| Subtotal Cash Spent |
£641,493 |
£711,525 |
£692,602 |
|
|
|
|
| Cash Balance |
£50,928 |
£21,086 |
£44,250 |
7.6 Projected Balance Sheet
The balance sheet shows that the negative net worth is gradually solved with profits later on. Debts are repaid ahead of schedule.
| Pro Forma Balance Sheet |
|
|
|
|
| Current Assets |
|
|
|
| Cash |
£50,928 |
£21,086 |
£44,250 |
| Inventory |
£24,979 |
£28,111 |
£29,516 |
| Other Current Assets |
£2,000 |
£42,000 |
£42,000 |
| Total Current Assets |
£77,907 |
£91,197 |
£115,766 |
|
|
|
|
| Long-term Assets |
|
|
|
| Long-term Assets |
£24,000 |
£74,000 |
£74,000 |
| Accumulated Depreciation |
£0 |
£0 |
£0 |
| Total Long-term Assets |
£24,000 |
£74,000 |
£74,000 |
| Total Assets |
£101,907 |
£165,197 |
£189,766 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Current Liabilities |
|
|
|
| Accounts Payable |
£34,330 |
£36,006 |
£38,203 |
| Current Borrowing |
£25,132 |
£0 |
£0 |
| Other Current Liabilities |
£0 |
£0 |
£0 |
| Subtotal Current Liabilities |
£59,462 |
£36,006 |
£38,203 |
|
|
|
|
| Long-term Liabilities |
£0 |
£0 |
£0 |
| Total Liabilities |
£59,462 |
£36,006 |
£38,203 |
|
|
|
|
| Paid-in Capital |
£20,000 |
£20,000 |
£20,000 |
| Retained Earnings |
(£30,800) |
(£2,555) |
£49,191 |
| Earnings |
£53,245 |
£111,745 |
£82,373 |
| Total Capital |
£42,445 |
£129,191 |
£151,563 |
| Total Liabilities and Capital |
£101,907 |
£165,197 |
£189,766 |
|
|
|
|
| Net Worth |
£42,445 |
£129,191 |
£151,563 |
7.7 Business Ratios
Standard business ratios are for the eating establishment industry as a whole. Because of the vast number of firms in this industry and the incredible variety that exists between firms, there is variance between the industry standard and a specific company like New World Deli. However, the ratios do show a healthy company that has appropriate costs plus asset and liability allocation. Industry profile ratios are based on the Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) code 5812, Eating Places, are shown for comparison.

| Ratio Analysis |
| Sales Growth |
0.00% |
5.00% |
5.00% |
7.60% |
|
|
|
|
|
| Inventory |
24.51% |
17.02% |
15.55% |
3.60% |
| Other Current Assets |
1.96% |
25.42% |
22.13% |
35.60% |
| Total Current Assets |
76.45% |
55.20% |
61.00% |
43.70% |
| Long-term Assets |
23.55% |
44.80% |
39.00% |
56.30% |
| Total Assets |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
|
|
|
|
|
| Current Liabilities |
58.35% |
21.80% |
20.13% |
32.70% |
| Long-term Liabilities |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
28.50% |
| Total Liabilities |
58.35% |
21.80% |
20.13% |
61.20% |
| Net Worth |
41.65% |
78.20% |
79.87% |
38.80% |
|
|
|
|
|
| Sales |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
| Gross Margin |
59.00% |
56.13% |
55.71% |
60.50% |
| Selling, General & Administrative Expenses |
50.80% |
39.74% |
44.18% |
39.80% |
| Advertising Expenses |
5.08% |
3.67% |
5.59% |
3.20% |
| Profit Before Interest and Taxes |
12.28% |
23.60% |
16.44% |
0.70% |
|
|
|
|
|
| Current |
1.31 |
2.53 |
3.03 |
0.98 |
| Quick |
0.89 |
1.75 |
2.26 |
0.65 |
| Total Debt to Total Assets |
58.35% |
21.80% |
20.13% |
61.20% |
| Pre-tax Return on Net Worth |
179.21% |
123.57% |
77.64% |
1.70% |
| Pre-tax Return on Assets |
74.64% |
96.63% |
62.01% |
4.30% |
|
|
|
|
|
| Net Profit Margin |
8.20% |
16.39% |
11.51% |
n.a |
| Return on Equity |
125.44% |
86.50% |
54.35% |
n.a |
|
|
|
|
|
| Inventory Turnover |
10.91 |
9.76 |
9.44 |
n.a |
| Accounts Payable Turnover |
12.67 |
12.17 |
12.17 |
n.a |
| Payment Days |
27 |
29 |
29 |
n.a |
| Total Asset Turnover |
6.37 |
4.13 |
3.77 |
n.a |
|
|
|
|
|
| Debt to Net Worth |
1.40 |
0.28 |
0.25 |
n.a |
| Current Liab. to Liab. |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
n.a |
|
|
|
|
|
| Net Working Capital |
£18,445 |
£55,191 |
£77,563 |
n.a |
| Interest Coverage |
21.68 |
128.04 |
183,568,059.24 |
n.a |
|
|
|
|
|
| Assets to Sales |
0.16 |
0.24 |
0.27 |
n.a |
| Current Debt/Total Assets |
58% |
22% |
20% |
n.a |
| Acid Test |
0.89 |
1.75 |
2.26 |
n.a |
| Sales/Net Worth |
15.30 |
5.28 |
4.72 |
n.a |
| Dividend Payout |
0.47 |
0.22 |
0.73 |
n.a |